Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Guangzhou 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 September 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Guangzhou 2 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Yasutaka Uchiyama		Giulio Zeppieri

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.6	1.44
	2.7	1.41	Watch
	2.95	1.4
	2.76	1.41	Watch
	2.73	1.42	Watch
	2.55	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.3)	1.42 ↓ (1.55)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yasutaka Uchiyama
34.2%

Giulio Zeppieri
65.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.3%

59.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yasutaka Uchiyama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yasutaka Uchiyama's form might have worsened.

Giulio Zeppieri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Giulio Zeppieri's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yasutaka Uchiyama than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yasutaka Uchiyama, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giulio Zeppieri than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Giulio Zeppieri, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Yasutaka Uchiyama - Giulio Zeppieri Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Uchiyama will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Zeppieri will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Uchiyama is ranked ATP: 225. Zeppieri is ranked ATP: 260.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Uchiyama may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Zeppieri is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Zeppieri will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Yasutaka Uchiyama - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 40.26%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yasutaka Uchiyama
ATP Challenger
07.09.25	Giulio Zeppieri - Yasutaka Uchiyama	2:0 ✺
06.09.25	Bernard Tomic - Yasutaka Uchiyama	0:2 ✺
05.09.25	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Rio Noguchi	2:1 ✺
04.09.25	Ilia Simakin - Yasutaka Uchiyama	0:2 ✺
03.09.25	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Arthur Gea	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWWWW
- Giulio Zeppieri
ATP Challenger
07.09.25	Giulio Zeppieri - Yasutaka Uchiyama	2:0 ✺
06.09.25	Giulio Zeppieri - Yu Hsiou Hsu	2:0 ✺
05.09.25	Filip Peliwo - Giulio Zeppieri	0:2 ✺
04.09.25	Giulio Zeppieri - Petr Bar-Biryukov	2:0 ✺
02.09.25	Giulio Zeppieri - Gauthier Onclin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
07.09.25	Giulio Zeppieri - Yasutaka Uchiyama	2:0

Yasutaka Uchiyama - Giulio Zeppieri