Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open - Qualification, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 20 May 2025, Tuesday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)


	Giulio Zeppieri		Jan Choinski

	1	2
	1.33	3.25
	1.36	2.95
	1.3	3.1	Watch
	1.36	3.24
	1.34	3.22	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.34	3.26	Watch
	1.3	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.47)	3.11 ↑ (2.59)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giulio Zeppieri
69.9%

Jan Choinski
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.8%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.6%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giulio Zeppieri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Giulio Zeppieri's performance.

Jan Choinski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jan Choinski might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giulio Zeppieri than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Giulio Zeppieri that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jan Choinski could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	0%	15.4%

Giulio Zeppieri - Jan Choinski Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5 Games - Zeppieri (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Giulio Zeppieri will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Giulio Zeppieri will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Zeppieri (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Zeppieri is ranked ATP: 344. Choinski is ranked ATP: 187.

Zeppieri is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Choinski has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Zeppieri may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Zeppieri might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Zeppieri won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giulio Zeppieri
ATP Challenger
15.05.25	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Giulio Zeppieri	2:1 ✺
14.05.25	Giulio Zeppieri - Christopher Eubanks	2:0 ✺
13.05.25	Giulio Zeppieri - Tiago Pereira	2:0 ✺
12.05.25	Giulio Zeppieri - Eero Vasa	2:1 ✺
11.05.25	Giulio Zeppieri - Joao Graca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWWW
- Jan Choinski
ATP Challenger
08.05.25	Jan Choinski - Alexander Blockx	1:2 ✺
06.05.25	Jan Choinski - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
15.04.25	Ugo Blanchet - Jan Choinski	2:0 ✺
11.04.25	Raphael Collignon - Jan Choinski	Choinski J. retired ✺
09.04.25	Arthur Gea - Jan Choinski	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWL?W

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
18.02.23	Giulio Zeppieri - Jan Choinski	2:1

Giulio Zeppieri - Jan Choinski: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide