Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Prague, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 May 2025, Tuesday


	Jan Choinski		Henrique Rocha

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.15	1.62
	2.2	1.6	Watch
	2.29	1.64
	2.06	1.68
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.19	1.63	Watch
	2.2	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (1.85)	1.61 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jan Choinski
42.3%

Henrique Rocha
57.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

49.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jan Choinski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jan Choinski's form might have worsened.

Henrique Rocha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Henrique Rocha's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jan Choinski, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henrique Rocha than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Henrique Rocha, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Jan Choinski - Henrique Rocha Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Choinski will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Rocha will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Choinski is ranked ATP: 187. Rocha is ranked ATP: 195.

Recent performances by Choinski have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rocha is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Rocha may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Rocha could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Jan Choinski - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.86%, but this team recently wins 41% of matches with these odds.

Henrique Rocha - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.14%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jan Choinski
ATP Challenger
15.04.25	Ugo Blanchet - Jan Choinski	2:0 ✺
11.04.25	Raphael Collignon - Jan Choinski	Choinski J. retired ✺
09.04.25	Arthur Gea - Jan Choinski	1:2 ✺
07.04.25	Jan Choinski - Duje Ajdukovic	2:0 ✺
07.04.25	Jan Choinski - Harold Mayot	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 L?WW?
- Henrique Rocha
ATP Challenger
30.04.25	Henrique Rocha - Nicolas Jarry	1:2 ✺
17.04.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
ATP Marrakech
30.03.25	Henrique Rocha - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
26.03.25	Henrique Rocha - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
18.03.25	Marton Fucsovics - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Jan Choinski - Henrique Rocha: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide