Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 3, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 April 2025, Tuesday


	Ugo Blanchet		Jan Choinski

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.9	1.93
	1.87	1.89	Watch
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.89	1.83	Watch
	1.91	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.8)	1.83 ↓ (1.91)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ugo Blanchet
49.1%

Jan Choinski
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ugo Blanchet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Jan Choinski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ugo Blanchet than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Ugo Blanchet - Jan Choinski Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Blanchet will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Choinski will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Choinski: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Blanchet (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Choinski (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Blanchet is ranked ATP: 166. Choinski is ranked ATP: 201.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Blanchet could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ugo Blanchet
ATP Bucharest
31.03.25	Ugo Blanchet - Filip Misolic	0:2 ✺
30.03.25	Ugo Blanchet - Cezar Cretu	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.03.25	Ugo Blanchet - Benjamin Hassan	1:2 ✺
25.03.25	Ugo Blanchet - Marco Trungelliti	2:1 ✺
18.03.25	Ugo Blanchet - Benjamin Hassan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLWL
- Jan Choinski
ATP Challenger
11.04.25	Raphael Collignon - Jan Choinski	Choinski J. retired ✺
09.04.25	Arthur Gea - Jan Choinski	1:2 ✺
07.04.25	Jan Choinski - Duje Ajdukovic	2:0 ✺
07.04.25	Jan Choinski - Harold Mayot	Canceled ✺
03.04.25	Jan Choinski - Zsombor Piros	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 ?WW?L

Ugo Blanchet - Jan Choinski: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide