Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mallorca, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 September 2026, Wednesday


	Luca Potenza		David Jorda Sanchis

	1	2
			Watch
	2.10	1.65
	2.18	1.66	Watch
	2.12	1.78
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	2.05	1.76
	2.13	1.64	Watch
	2.00	1.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.24)	1.69 ↑ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Potenza
44.6%

David Jorda Sanchis
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Potenza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

David Jorda Sanchis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Potenza than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luca Potenza that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for David Jorda Sanchis than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that David Jorda Sanchis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Luca Potenza - David Jorda Sanchis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Potenza is ranked ATP: 488. Jorda Sanchis is ranked ATP: 192.

Recent performances by Potenza have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Jorda Sanchis is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Jorda Sanchis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Potenza
ATP Challenger
01.09.26	Carl Emil Overbeck - Luca Potenza	0:2 ✺
31.08.26	Luca Potenza - Daniel Masur	2:0 ✺
25.08.26	Alec Deckers - Luca Potenza	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.08.26	Aryan Shah - Luca Potenza	2:1 ✺
04.08.26	Samuel Heredia - Luca Potenza	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWLLW
- David Jorda Sanchis
ATP US Open
26.08.26	David Jorda Sanchis - Dusan Lajovic	0:2 ✺
25.08.26	Henri Squire - David Jorda Sanchis	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.08.26	David Jorda Sanchis - Alan Magadan	0:2 ✺
10.08.26	David Jorda Sanchis - Jack Pinnington Jones	0:2 ✺
28.07.26	Thiago Monteiro - David Jorda Sanchis	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLLL

Luca Potenza - David Jorda Sanchis: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide