Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Poznan, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 June 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Poznan 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Gonzalo Bueno		Frederico Ferreira Silva

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Gonzalo Bueno
55.7%

Frederico Ferreira Silva
44.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gonzalo Bueno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gonzalo Bueno's performance.

Frederico Ferreira Silva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Frederico Ferreira Silva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gonzalo Bueno than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frederico Ferreira Silva than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Bueno will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Ferreira Silva will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Bueno is ranked ATP: 183. Ferreira Silva is ranked ATP: 232.

Both players are currently in poor form.

Ferreira Silva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gonzalo Bueno
ATP Challenger
16.06.26	Gonzalo Bueno - Tomasz Berkieta	2:0 ✺
09.06.26	Gonzalo Bueno - Francesco Forti	1:2 ✺
02.06.26	Gonzalo Bueno - Dusan Lajovic	0:2 ✺
26.05.26	Tommaso Compagnucci - Gonzalo Bueno	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
21.05.26	Toby Samuel - Gonzalo Bueno	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 WLLLL
- Frederico Ferreira Silva
ATP Challenger
16.06.26	Mathys Erhard - Frederico Ferreira Silva	0:2 ✺
01.06.26	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
25.05.26	Manas Manoj Dhamne - Frederico Ferreira Silva	2:1 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
18.05.26	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Federico Agustin Gomez	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.05.26	Vilius Gaubas - Frederico Ferreira Silva	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLLLL

Gonzalo Bueno - Frederico Ferreira Silva