Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Como, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 29 August 2025, Friday


	Gonzalo Bueno		Henri Squire

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.7	2.05	Watch
	1.72	2.01
	1.86	1.98
	1.78	2.00	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.7	2.06	Watch
	1.6	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.83)	2.08 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gonzalo Bueno
54.9%

Henri Squire
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gonzalo Bueno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Henri Squire has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gonzalo Bueno than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gonzalo Bueno that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Henri Squire than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Henri Squire could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.6%	5.3%	42.1%

Gonzalo Bueno - Henri Squire Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Bueno will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Squire will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Squire: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Squire (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Games - Bueno (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bueno (votes: 1 - 50%). Squire (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bueno is ranked ATP: 205. Squire is ranked ATP: 391.

Recent performances by Bueno have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Squire is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Squire may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Gonzalo Bueno - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.

Henri Squire - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gonzalo Bueno
ATP Challenger
25.08.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:1 ✺
12.08.25	Timofey Skatov - Gonzalo Bueno	2:1 ✺
08.08.25	Carlos Taberner - Gonzalo Bueno	2:0 ✺
07.08.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Jay Clarke	2:0 ✺
05.08.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Ryan Nijboer	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLLWW
- Henri Squire
ATP Challenger
26.08.25	Henri Squire - Tommaso Compagnucci	2:0 ✺
25.08.25	Rudolf Molleker - Henri Squire	1:2 ✺
24.08.25	Carlo Alberto Fossati - Henri Squire	0:2 ✺
22.08.25	Henri Squire - Alexander Ritschard	1:2 ✺
21.08.25	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Henri Squire	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWLW

Gonzalo Bueno - Henri Squire: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide