Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: San Luis Potosi, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 April 2025, Wednesday


	Mateus Alves		Matias Soto

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	2.15	1.63	Watch
	2.15	1.72
	2.17	1.66	Watch
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.19	1.64	Watch
	2.15	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.15)	1.65 ↑ (1.63)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mateus Alves
43.2%

Matias Soto
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mateus Alves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Matias Soto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mateus Alves than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matias Soto than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Mateus Alves - Matias Soto Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Alves will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Soto will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Alves is ranked ATP: 329. Soto is ranked ATP: 243.

Alves is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Soto is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Alves could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Soto will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Mateus Alves - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 43.12%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mateus Alves
ATP Challenger
14.04.25	Mateus Alves - Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar	2:0 ✺
07.04.25	James Duckworth - Mateus Alves	2:0 ✺
01.04.25	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Mateus Alves	2:0 ✺
11.03.25	Thiago Monteiro - Mateus Alves	2:1 ✺
24.02.25	Calvin Hemery - Mateus Alves	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLL?
- Matias Soto
ATP Challenger
14.04.25	Garrett Johns - Matias Soto	0:2 ✺
10.04.25	Matias Soto - Aziz Dougaz	0:2 ✺
08.04.25	Matias Soto - Maximilian Neuchrist	2:0 ✺
05.04.25	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Matias Soto	2:0 ✺
04.04.25	Matias Soto - Daniel Dutra da Silva	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLWLW

Mateus Alves - Matias Soto: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide