Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: San Luis Potosi, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 April 2025, Monday


	Mateus Alves		Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.35	2.95	Watch
	1.34	3.18
	1.4	2.75
	1.36	2.99	Watch
	1.35	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.5)	2.94 ↑ (2.48)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mateus Alves
68.3%

Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mateus Alves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mateus Alves's performance.

Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mateus Alves than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mateus Alves that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Mateus Alves - Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Alves will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Aguilar will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Alves (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Aguilar (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Games - Aguilar (2.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Alves (votes: 1 - 25%). Aguilar (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Alves is ranked ATP: 334. Aguilar is ranked ATP: 473.

Alves has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Aguilar is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Aguilar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Alves will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mateus Alves
ATP Challenger
07.04.25	James Duckworth - Mateus Alves	2:0 ✺
01.04.25	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Mateus Alves	2:0 ✺
11.03.25	Thiago Monteiro - Mateus Alves	2:1 ✺
24.02.25	Calvin Hemery - Mateus Alves	Canceled ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
15.02.25	Jaime Faria - Mateus Alves	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLL?L
- Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar
ATP Challenger
08.04.25	Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar - Andres Martin	0:2 ✺
07.04.25	Vladyslav Orlov - Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar	0:2 ✺
06.04.25	Rafael De Alba - Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar	0:2 ✺
01.04.25	Bernard Tomic - Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar	2:1 ✺
31.03.25	Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar - Ivan Marrero Curbelo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWLW

Mateus Alves - Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide