Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto Alegre, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 April 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Porto Alegre 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Mateus Alves		Lautaro Midon

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2	1.72
	2.17	1.61	Watch
	2.16	1.72
	2.18	1.65	Watch
	2	1.73
	2.14	1.66	Watch
	2.17	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (2)	1.67 ↓ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mateus Alves
43.9%

Lautaro Midon
56.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

53.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mateus Alves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Lautaro Midon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mateus Alves than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lautaro Midon than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Mateus Alves - Lautaro Midon Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Alves will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Midon will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Midon (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Alves is ranked ATP: 313. Midon is ranked ATP: 323.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Midon could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mateus Alves
ATP Challenger
18.04.25	Dan Martin - Mateus Alves	2:1 ✺
16.04.25	Mateus Alves - Matias Soto	2:0 ✺
14.04.25	Mateus Alves - Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar	2:0 ✺
07.04.25	James Duckworth - Mateus Alves	2:0 ✺
01.04.25	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Mateus Alves	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWWLL
- Lautaro Midon
ATP Challenger
24.04.25	Lautaro Midon - Pedro Boscardin Dias	1:2 ✺
22.04.25	Lautaro Midon - Joao Eduardo Schiessl	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.04.25	Lautaro Midon - Maximo Zeitune	0:2 ✺
30.03.25	Lautaro Midon - Mariano Kestelboim	2:0 ✺
29.03.25	Lautaro Midon - Franco Roncadelli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWLWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lautaro Midon
ATP Challenger
29.10.26	Daniel Elahi Galan - Lautaro Midon	✺

Mateus Alves - Lautaro Midon