Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bordeaux - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 13 May 2025, Tuesday


	Gregoire Barrere		Michael Geerts

	1	2
			Watch
	1.33	2.95	Watch
	1.42	2.65	Watch
	1.42	2.83
	1.42	2.75	Watch
	1.44	2.62	Watch
	1.41	2.77	Watch
	1.42	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.52)	2.75 ↑ (2.36)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gregoire Barrere
66.1%

Michael Geerts
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.8%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.1%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gregoire Barrere has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gregoire Barrere's performance.

Michael Geerts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Michael Geerts might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gregoire Barrere than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Geerts than the current prediction. (+2%)

Gregoire Barrere - Michael Geerts Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Barrere is ranked ATP: 222. Geerts is ranked ATP: 276.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Barrere may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Barrere will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Michael Geerts - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 39.21%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gregoire Barrere
ATP Challenger
12.05.25	Gregoire Barrere - Lucas Bouquet	2:0 ✺
05.05.25	Gregoire Barrere - Elias Ymer	1:2 ✺
29.04.25	Mariano Navone - Gregoire Barrere	2:0 ✺
18.04.25	Francisco Comesana - Gregoire Barrere	2:0 ✺
17.04.25	Gregoire Barrere - Stefano Travaglia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLLW
- Michael Geerts
ATP Challenger
12.05.25	Ryan Seggerman - Michael Geerts	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
07.05.25	Michael Geerts - Leo Borg	1:2 ✺
06.05.25	Michael Geerts - Kirill Kivattsev	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.04.25	Aziz Dougaz - Michael Geerts	2:0 ✺
25.04.25	Michael Geerts - Aryan Shah	Shah A. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLWL?

Gregoire Barrere - Michael Geerts: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide