Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Paris, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 October 2025, Wednesday


	Grigor Dimitrov		Daniil Medvedev

	1	2
	3.5	1.3	Watch
			Watch
	3.5	1.31
	2.55	1.48	Watch
	3.55	1.32	Watch
	3.4	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↑ (2.55)	1.34 ↓ (1.48)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grigor Dimitrov
28.8%

Daniil Medvedev
71.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

63.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grigor Dimitrov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Grigor Dimitrov's form might have worsened.

Daniil Medvedev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Daniil Medvedev's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Grigor Dimitrov - Daniil Medvedev Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Dimitrov will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Medvedev will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Medvedev: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Medvedev (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 21.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Dimitrov is ranked ATP: 38. Medvedev is ranked ATP: 13.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dimitrov won 2.

Medvedev is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Dimitrov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Medvedev is considered a favorite.

We predict that Medvedev will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Dimitrov won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 7:18. (average 0.6:1.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Daniil Medvedev - the odds 1.48 are the expected chance of winning is 63.28%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grigor Dimitrov
ATP Paris
27.10.25	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Grigor Dimitrov	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
07.07.25	Jannik Sinner - Grigor Dimitrov	Dimitrov G. retired ✺
05.07.25	Grigor Dimitrov - Sebastian Ofner	3:0 ✺
03.07.25	Grigor Dimitrov - Corentin Moutet	3:1 ✺
01.07.25	Grigor Dimitrov - Yoshihito Nishioka	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.1 W?WWW
- Daniil Medvedev
ATP Paris
28.10.25	Jaume Munar - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
ATP Vienna
23.10.25	Daniil Medvedev - Corentin Moutet	0:2 ✺
22.10.25	Daniil Medvedev - Nuno Borges	2:1 ✺
ATP Almaty
19.10.25	Corentin Moutet - Daniil Medvedev	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	James Duckworth - Daniil Medvedev	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Wimbledon
07.07.24	Grigor Dimitrov - Daniil Medvedev	Dimitrov G. retired
ATP Indian Wells
13.03.24	Daniil Medvedev - Grigor Dimitrov	2:0
ATP Paris
01.11.23	Grigor Dimitrov - Daniil Medvedev	2:1
ATP Vienna
26.10.23	Daniil Medvedev - Grigor Dimitrov	2:1
ATP Rotterdam
18.02.23	Daniil Medvedev - Grigor Dimitrov	2:0
ATP Vienna
29.10.22	Daniil Medvedev - Grigor Dimitrov	2:0
ATP Indian Wells
13.10.21	Daniil Medvedev - Grigor Dimitrov	1:2

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