Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Vienna, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 23 October 2025, Thursday


	Daniil Medvedev		Corentin Moutet

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
			Watch
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.47	2.9
	1.36	3.03	Watch
			Watch
	1.45	2.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.36)	2.86 ↓ (3.03)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniil Medvedev
66.6%

Corentin Moutet
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniil Medvedev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Corentin Moutet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniil Medvedev than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Daniil Medvedev, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corentin Moutet than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Corentin Moutet, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	0%	13.3%

Daniil Medvedev - Corentin Moutet Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5 Games - Moutet (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -3 Games - Medvedev (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 22.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Moutet (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Daniil Medvedev will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Daniil Medvedev will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Medvedev (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Moutet (votes: 4 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Medvedev is ranked ATP: 14. Moutet is ranked ATP: 36.

Medvedev is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Moutet is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Medvedev may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Medvedev might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Medvedev will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Medvedev won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Daniil Medvedev - the odds 1.36 are the expected chance of winning is 69.02%, but this team recently wins 83% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniil Medvedev
ATP Vienna
22.10.25	Daniil Medvedev - Nuno Borges	2:1 ✺
ATP Almaty
19.10.25	Corentin Moutet - Daniil Medvedev	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	James Duckworth - Daniil Medvedev	1:2 ✺
17.10.25	Fabian Marozsan - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
16.10.25	Adam Walton - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWWW
- Corentin Moutet
ATP Vienna
22.10.25	Damir Dzumhur - Corentin Moutet	0:2 ✺
ATP Almaty
19.10.25	Corentin Moutet - Daniil Medvedev	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Corentin Moutet - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
17.10.25	Jan-Lennard Struff - Corentin Moutet	0:2 ✺
15.10.25	Alexander Shevchenko - Corentin Moutet	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Almaty
19.10.25	Corentin Moutet - Daniil Medvedev	1:2
ATP Washington
25.07.25	Daniil Medvedev - Corentin Moutet	1:2
ATP Mallorca
22.06.21	Daniil Medvedev - Corentin Moutet	2:0
Exhibition UTS Championship Men
24.05.21	Daniil Medvedev - Corentin Moutet	1:3

Daniil Medvedev - Corentin Moutet: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide