Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Almaty, hard - Final

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Premier Sport 3
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Tennis


	Corentin Moutet		Daniil Medvedev

	1	2
	3.2	1.36	Watch
			Watch
	3.18	1.4
	2.98	1.37	Watch
	3.22	1.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (2.98)	1.38 ↑ (1.37)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corentin Moutet
30.4%

Daniil Medvedev
69.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

68.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

70.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corentin Moutet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Daniil Medvedev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corentin Moutet than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniil Medvedev than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Corentin Moutet - Daniil Medvedev Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5 Games - Moutet (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Sets - Medvedev (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 22.5 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Daniil Medvedev will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Daniil Medvedev will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Moutet (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Medvedev (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Moutet is ranked ATP: 41. Medvedev is ranked ATP: 14.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Moutet may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Medvedev is the team to beat.

We predict that Medvedev will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Moutet won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corentin Moutet
ATP Almaty
18.10.25	Corentin Moutet - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
17.10.25	Jan-Lennard Struff - Corentin Moutet	0:2 ✺
15.10.25	Alexander Shevchenko - Corentin Moutet	0:2 ✺
13.10.25	Bernard Tomic - Corentin Moutet	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
04.10.25	Corentin Moutet - Learner Tien	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWWL
- Daniil Medvedev
ATP Almaty
18.10.25	James Duckworth - Daniil Medvedev	1:2 ✺
17.10.25	Fabian Marozsan - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
16.10.25	Adam Walton - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
11.10.25	Daniil Medvedev - Arthur Rinderknech	1:2 ✺
10.10.25	Daniil Medvedev - Alex De Minaur	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Washington
25.07.25	Daniil Medvedev - Corentin Moutet	1:2
ATP Mallorca
22.06.21	Daniil Medvedev - Corentin Moutet	2:0
Exhibition UTS Championship Men
24.05.21	Daniil Medvedev - Corentin Moutet	1:3

Corentin Moutet - Daniil Medvedev: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide