Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Paris, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday


	Jaume Munar		Daniil Medvedev

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.95	1.41	Watch
	3.27	1.31	Watch
	2.89	1.44	Watch
	3	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↓ (3.27)	1.38 ↑ (1.31)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaume Munar
31.4%

Daniil Medvedev
68.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

71.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

72.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaume Munar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Daniil Medvedev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaume Munar than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniil Medvedev than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.5%	0%	76.5%

Jaume Munar - Daniil Medvedev Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Munar will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). Medvedev will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Medvedev: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Munar (votes: 3 - 30%). Medvedev (votes: 7 - 70%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Munar is ranked ATP: 42. Medvedev is ranked ATP: 14.

Munar has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Medvedev is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Medvedev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Medvedev is considered a favorite.

We predict that Medvedev will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Munar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Daniil Medvedev - the odds 1.31 are the expected chance of winning is 71.4%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jaume Munar
ATP Basel
25.10.25	Joao Fonseca - Jaume Munar	2:0 ✺
24.10.25	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Jaume Munar	Auger-Aliassime F. retired ✺
23.10.25	Jaume Munar - Ben Shelton	2:0 ✺
20.10.25	Remy Bertola - Jaume Munar	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
07.10.25	Jaume Munar - Novak Djokovic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 L?WWL
- Daniil Medvedev
ATP Vienna
23.10.25	Daniil Medvedev - Corentin Moutet	0:2 ✺
22.10.25	Daniil Medvedev - Nuno Borges	2:1 ✺
ATP Almaty
19.10.25	Corentin Moutet - Daniil Medvedev	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	James Duckworth - Daniil Medvedev	1:2 ✺
17.10.25	Fabian Marozsan - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Miami
21.03.25	Daniil Medvedev - Jaume Munar	0:2

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