Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: CARY 2 (USA), HARD - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 15 September 2023, Friday


	Guido Andreozzi		Alex Michelsen

	1	2
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3.2	1.32
	3.32	1.36
	3	1.36	Watch
	3.48	1.29	Watch
	3.4	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↑ (2.8)	1.33 ↓ (1.37)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guido Andreozzi
28.7%

Alex Michelsen
71.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

67.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

68.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guido Andreozzi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Alex Michelsen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guido Andreozzi than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	0%	90%

Guido Andreozzi - Alex Michelsen Predictions

Users Predictions: Alex Michelsen will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Andreozzi is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Michelsen is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Michelsen is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guido Andreozzi
ATP Challenger
13.09.23	Guido Andreozzi - Christian Harrison	2:0 ✺
12.09.23	Guido Andreozzi - Jaimee Floyd Angele	2:0 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
02.08.23	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Guido Andreozzi	2:0 ✺
31.07.23	Guido Andreozzi - Filip Misolic	2:1 ✺
30.07.23	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Guido Andreozzi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWLWW
- Alex Michelsen
ATP Challenger
13.09.23	Strong Kirchheimer - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
12.09.23	Maxime Janvier - Alex Michelsen	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
31.08.23	Nicolas Jarry - Alex Michelsen	3:1 ✺
29.08.23	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Alex Michelsen	0:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
23.08.23	Laslo Djere - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WWLWL

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