Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: LIMA 2 (PERU), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 6 November 2023, Monday


	Juan Manuel Cerundolo		Guido Andreozzi

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.72	2
	1.78	1.95	Watch
	1.82	2.02
	1.83	2.02
	1.8	1.91
	1.77	1.97	Watch
	1.75	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2)	1.98 ↑ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
52.7%

Guido Andreozzi
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Manuel Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Juan Manuel Cerundolo's performance.

Guido Andreozzi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guido Andreozzi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Manuel Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Juan Manuel Cerundolo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guido Andreozzi than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guido Andreozzi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88%	0%	12%

Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Guido Andreozzi Predictions

Users Predictions: Juan Manuel Cerundolo will win (22 of 25 users predict this - 88%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.26% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cerundolo is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Andreozzi is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Andreozzi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Cerundolo won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP Challenger
31.10.23	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Roman Andres Burruchaga	0:2 ✺
23.10.23	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Wilson Leite	0:2 ✺
17.10.23	Thiago Monteiro - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
13.10.23	Luciano Darderi - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
11.10.23	Andrea Pellegrino - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLLLW
- Guido Andreozzi
ATP Challenger
29.10.23	Hugo Dellien - Guido Andreozzi	2:1 ✺
28.10.23	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Guido Andreozzi	0:2 ✺
25.10.23	Guido Andreozzi - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
24.10.23	Gilbert Soares Klier Junior - Guido Andreozzi	0:2 ✺
16.10.23	Guido Andreozzi - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Kitzbuhel
30.07.23	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Guido Andreozzi	0:2
ATP Challenger
06.01.23	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Guido Andreozzi	2:0
19.10.21	Guido Andreozzi - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:2

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