Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US OPEN (USA), HARD - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 31 August 2023, Thursday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York)


	Nicolas Jarry		Alex Michelsen

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.52	2.55
	1.61	2.4
	1.62	2.46
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.57	2.4	Watch
	1.58	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.5)	2.41 ↓ (2.61)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Jarry
60.2%

Alex Michelsen
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.6%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.7%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Jarry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Alex Michelsen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Jarry than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Nicolas Jarry - Alex Michelsen Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Jarry will win (votes: 12 - 42.9%). Michelsen will win (votes: 16 - 57.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Michelsen: 38.8% – 75.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Jarry could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Jarry will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Jarry
ATP US Open
29.08.23	Nicolas Jarry - Luca Van Assche	3:1 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
17.08.23	Alexei Popyrin - Nicolas Jarry	Popyrin A. walkover ✺
14.08.23	Roman Safiullin - Nicolas Jarry	1:2 ✺
ATP Toronto
08.08.23	Ugo Humbert - Nicolas Jarry	2:1 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
03.08.23	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Nicolas Jarry	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 W?WLL
- Alex Michelsen
ATP US Open
29.08.23	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Alex Michelsen	0:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
23.08.23	Laslo Djere - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
22.08.23	Alex Michelsen - Sebastian Ofner	2:0 ✺
20.08.23	Alex Michelsen - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.08.23	Borna Gojo - Alex Michelsen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWWL

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