Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tigre, clay - Final

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday


	Lautaro Midon		Guido Ivan Justo

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.73	1.99	Watch
	2.02	1.72	Watch
	1.73	1.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.57)	1.92 ↓ (2.28)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lautaro Midon
51.6%

Guido Ivan Justo
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lautaro Midon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lautaro Midon's form might have worsened.

Guido Ivan Justo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guido Ivan Justo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lautaro Midon than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guido Ivan Justo than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Lautaro Midon - Guido Ivan Justo Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Midon will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Justo will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Guido Ivan Justo will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Midon is ranked ATP: 226. Justo is ranked ATP: 347.

Now, both players are in good form.

Justo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Midon won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Lautaro Midon - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 59.17%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Guido Ivan Justo - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.83%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lautaro Midon
ATP Challenger
21.02.26	Lautaro Midon - Carlos Sanchez Jover	2:0 ✺
20.02.26	Juan Manuel La Serna - Lautaro Midon	1:2 ✺
19.02.26	Carlos Maria Zarate - Lautaro Midon	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	Dante Pagani - Lautaro Midon	0:2 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
09.02.26	Lautaro Midon - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWWWL
- Guido Ivan Justo
ATP Challenger
21.02.26	Guido Ivan Justo - Gonzalo Bueno	2:1 ✺
20.02.26	Guido Ivan Justo - Bruno Fernandez	2:0 ✺
19.02.26	Guido Ivan Justo - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:0 ✺
17.02.26	Franco Agamenone - Guido Ivan Justo	0:2 ✺
03.02.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Guido Ivan Justo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
04.09.25	Guido Ivan Justo - Lautaro Midon	1:2
09.09.23	Guido Ivan Justo - Lautaro Midon	0:2

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