Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Florianopolis, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday


	Guido Ivan Justo		Daniel Dutra da Silva

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
			Watch
	1.79	1.92	Watch
	1.83	1.87	Watch
	1.79	1.89	Watch
	1.97	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.18)	1.86 ↑ (1.64)

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guido Ivan Justo
50.3%

Daniel Dutra da Silva
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

59.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guido Ivan Justo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guido Ivan Justo's performance.

Daniel Dutra da Silva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Daniel Dutra da Silva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guido Ivan Justo than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guido Ivan Justo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Dutra da Silva than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Daniel Dutra da Silva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Guido Ivan Justo - Daniel Dutra da Silva Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Justo will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Dutra da Silva will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Justo: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Daniel Dutra da Silva will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Justo is ranked ATP: 365. Dutra da Silva is ranked ATP: 357.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Dutra da Silva will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Justo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guido Ivan Justo
ATP Challenger
20.11.25	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Guido Ivan Justo	1:2 ✺
17.11.25	Guido Ivan Justo - Joao Eduardo Schiessl	2:1 ✺
11.11.25	Guido Ivan Justo - Daniel Vallejo	1:2 ✺
10.11.25	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Guido Ivan Justo	0:2 ✺
09.11.25	Federico Aguilar Cardozo - Guido Ivan Justo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWLWW
- Daniel Dutra da Silva
ATP Challenger
20.11.25	Juan Bautista Torres - Daniel Dutra da Silva	1:2 ✺
17.11.25	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna	2:0 ✺
11.11.25	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
10.11.25	Tomas Zurmendi - Daniel Dutra da Silva	0:2 ✺
09.11.25	Miguel Tobon - Daniel Dutra da Silva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
03.05.24	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Guido Ivan Justo	2:1

Guido Ivan Justo - Daniel Dutra da Silva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide