Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Montevideo - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday


	Miguel Tobon		Daniel Dutra da Silva

	1	2
			Watch
	2.6	1.44	Watch
	2.66	1.46
	2.49	1.48	Watch
	2.59	1.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.44)	1.46 ↓ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miguel Tobon
36%

Daniel Dutra da Silva
64%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

62.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

63.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miguel Tobon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Daniel Dutra da Silva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miguel Tobon than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Dutra da Silva than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Miguel Tobon - Daniel Dutra da Silva Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5 Games - Dutra da Silva (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dutra da Silva (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tobon is ranked ATP: 571. Dutra da Silva is ranked ATP: 329.

Tobon is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Dutra da Silva's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Dutra da Silva will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Daniel Dutra da Silva - the odds 1.49 are the expected chance of winning is 62.09%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miguel Tobon
ATP Challenger
04.11.25	Ignacio Buse - Miguel Tobon	2:1 ✺
28.10.25	Miguel Tobon - Juan Bautista Torres	0:2 ✺
20.10.25	Miguel Tobon - Gonzalo Villanueva	0:2 ✺
19.10.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Miguel Tobon	Canceled ✺
14.10.25	Miguel Tobon - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLL?L
- Daniel Dutra da Silva
ATP Challenger
02.11.25	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Juan Manuel La Serna	1:2 ✺
27.10.25	Tristan Boyer - Daniel Dutra da Silva	2:0 ✺
20.10.25	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Daniel Dutra da Silva	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Luis Britto - Daniel Dutra da Silva	0:2 ✺
17.10.25	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Joao Eduardo Schiessl	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLWL

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