Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Montevideo, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 November 2025, Tuesday


	Guido Ivan Justo		Daniel Vallejo

	1	2
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3.35	1.28
	3.92	1.26
	3.99	1.21	Watch
	3.35	1.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.6 ↑ (2.76)	1.27 ↓ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guido Ivan Justo
26%

Daniel Vallejo
74%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

66.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

66.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guido Ivan Justo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guido Ivan Justo's form might have worsened.

Daniel Vallejo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Daniel Vallejo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guido Ivan Justo than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guido Ivan Justo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Vallejo than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Daniel Vallejo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Guido Ivan Justo - Daniel Vallejo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Justo is ranked ATP: 369. Vallejo is ranked ATP: 169.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Vallejo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guido Ivan Justo
ATP Challenger
10.11.25	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Guido Ivan Justo	0:2 ✺
09.11.25	Federico Aguilar Cardozo - Guido Ivan Justo	0:2 ✺
04.11.25	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Guido Ivan Justo	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Rodrigo Varillas - Guido Ivan Justo	0:2 ✺
27.10.25	Marco Cecchinato - Guido Ivan Justo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLWL
- Daniel Vallejo
ATP Challenger
03.11.25	Hady Habib - Daniel Vallejo	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Daniel Vallejo - Roman Andres Burruchaga	0:2 ✺
26.10.25	Christian Garin - Daniel Vallejo	Garin C. retired ✺
25.10.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Daniel Vallejo	0:2 ✺
24.10.25	Daniel Vallejo - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LL?WW

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