Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Costa do Sauipe, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday


	Thiago Augustin Tirante		Daniel Vallejo

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.5	2.4	Watch
			Watch
	1.54	2.39	Watch
	1.53	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.58)	2.38 ↑ (2.21)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thiago Augustin Tirante
61%

Daniel Vallejo
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thiago Augustin Tirante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Daniel Vallejo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Augustin Tirante than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Vallejo than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Thiago Augustin Tirante - Daniel Vallejo Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tirante will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Vallejo will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rain delay.

Tirante is ranked ATP: 101. Vallejo is ranked ATP: 190.

Tirante has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Vallejo is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Tirante may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tirante is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tirante won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Daniel Vallejo - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 41.74%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thiago Augustin Tirante
ATP Challenger
24.10.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:0 ✺
20.10.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Alex Barrena	2:1 ✺
15.10.25	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:1 ✺
13.10.25	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Thiago Augustin Tirante	1:2 ✺
07.10.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Nicolas Mejia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLWL
- Daniel Vallejo
ATP Challenger
24.10.25	Daniel Vallejo - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	2:0 ✺
23.10.25	Igor Gimenez - Daniel Vallejo	0:2 ✺
19.10.25	Daniel Vallejo - Pedro Boscardin Dias	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Daniel Vallejo - Joao Eduardo Schiessl	2:0 ✺
17.10.25	Daniel Vallejo - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
23.09.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Daniel Vallejo	0:2

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