Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brasov, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday


	Guido Ivan Justo		Keegan Smith

	1	2
			Watch
	1.70	2.05
	1.62	2.23	Watch
	1.71	2.24
	1.61	2.21	Watch
	1.59	2.30
	1.63	2.15	Watch
	1.60	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.54)	2.19 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guido Ivan Justo
57.2%

Keegan Smith
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guido Ivan Justo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Keegan Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guido Ivan Justo than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guido Ivan Justo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keegan Smith than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Keegan Smith, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Guido Ivan Justo - Keegan Smith Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Justo is ranked ATP: 238. Smith is ranked ATP: 247.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Justo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Justo might have a minor edge in this game.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guido Ivan Justo
ATP Challenger
03.07.26	Guido Ivan Justo - Olle Wallin	2:0 ✺
02.07.26	Ognjen Milic - Guido Ivan Justo	1:2 ✺
30.06.26	Guido Ivan Justo - Franco Agamenone	Canceled ✺
30.06.26	Guido Ivan Justo - Sebastian Gima	2:0 ✺
19.06.26	Guido Ivan Justo - Nick Hardt	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WW?WL
- Keegan Smith
ATP Challenger
03.07.26	Andrej Nedic - Keegan Smith	0:2 ✺
01.07.26	Keegan Smith - Henri Squire	2:0 ✺
30.06.26	Keegan Smith - Gabriel Ghetu	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
24.06.26	Keegan Smith - Moez Echargui	1:2 ✺
22.06.26	Keegan Smith - Juan Pablo Ficovich	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WWWLW

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