Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santa Cruz, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 15 April 2026, Wednesday


	Guido Ivan Justo		Matias Soto

	1	2
			Watch
	1.72	2.01	Watch
	1.81	2.05
	1.73	1.99	Watch
	1.73	1.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.65)	2.01 ↓ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guido Ivan Justo
53.4%

Matias Soto
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guido Ivan Justo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Matias Soto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guido Ivan Justo than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guido Ivan Justo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matias Soto than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matias Soto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Guido Ivan Justo - Matias Soto Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Soto (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Justo is ranked ATP: 261. Soto is ranked ATP: 304.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Justo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Justo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guido Ivan Justo
ATP Challenger
14.04.26	Guido Ivan Justo - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	2:1 ✺
10.04.26	Guido Ivan Justo - Gustavo Heide	Justo G. I./Villanueva G. Walkover ✺
09.04.26	Guido Ivan Justo - Juan Manuel La Serna	2:0 ✺
07.04.26	Guido Ivan Justo - Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto	2:0 ✺
31.03.26	Juan Manuel La Serna - Guido Ivan Justo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 W?WWL
- Matias Soto
ATP Challenger
14.04.26	Mariano Kestelboim - Matias Soto	0:2 ✺
08.04.26	Matias Soto - Stefano Napolitano	0:2 ✺
06.04.26	Jay Clarke - Matias Soto	1:2 ✺
03.04.26	Matias Soto - Nicolas Mejia	2:1 ✺
02.04.26	Alan Magadan - Matias Soto	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
28.03.26	Guido Ivan Justo - Matias Soto	0:2
ITF Tournaments
08.12.24	Matias Soto - Guido Ivan Justo	1:2
18.08.24	Matias Soto - Guido Ivan Justo	2:0

Guido Ivan Justo - Matias Soto: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide