Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: San Luis Potosi, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday


	Matias Soto		Nicolas Mejia

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	3.13	1.41
	2.85	1.37	Watch
	2.75	1.4
	2.81	1.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↓ (2.92)	1.39 ↑ (1.35)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matias Soto
32.9%

Nicolas Mejia
67.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

68.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1%

73.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matias Soto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Nicolas Mejia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matias Soto than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matias Soto that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Mejia than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nicolas Mejia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Matias Soto - Nicolas Mejia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Soto is ranked ATP: 294. Mejia is ranked ATP: 171.

Soto has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Mejia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Mejia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Mejia is considered a favorite.

We predict that Mejia will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Soto won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matias Soto
ATP Challenger
02.04.26	Alan Magadan - Matias Soto	1:2 ✺
31.03.26	Matias Soto - Vladyslav Orlov	2:0 ✺
30.03.26	Matias Soto - Bor Artnak	Canceled ✺
28.03.26	Guido Ivan Justo - Matias Soto	0:2 ✺
27.03.26	Daniel Salazar - Matias Soto	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WW?WW
- Nicolas Mejia
ATP Challenger
02.04.26	Rodrigo Alujas - Nicolas Mejia	0:2 ✺
31.03.26	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Nicolas Mejia	1:2 ✺
27.03.26	Borna Gojo - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
26.03.26	Nicolas Mejia - Chris Rodesch	Rodesch C. Retired ✺
23.03.26	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Nicolas Mejia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWL?W

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
31.03.24	Nicolas Mejia - Matias Soto	2:1

Matias Soto - Nicolas Mejia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide