Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mexico City, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday


	Jay Clarke		Matias Soto

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.72	2	Watch
	1.7	1.95	Watch
	1.75	2.16
	1.66	2.09	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.68	2.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.59)	2.06 ↓ (2.23)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jay Clarke
54.9%

Matias Soto
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jay Clarke has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Matias Soto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jay Clarke than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jay Clarke, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matias Soto than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matias Soto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Jay Clarke - Matias Soto Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Clarke will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Soto will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Clarke is ranked ATP: 185. Soto is ranked ATP: 294.

Clarke has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Soto is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Soto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Clarke could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Clarke won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Matias Soto - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 41.61%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jay Clarke
ATP Bucharest
31.03.26	Alex Molcan - Jay Clarke	2:1 ✺
30.03.26	Gabriel Ghetu - Jay Clarke	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
17.03.26	Liam Draxl - Jay Clarke	2:1 ✺
16.03.26	Jay Clarke - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.03.26	Andrej Martin - Jay Clarke	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWLWL
- Matias Soto
ATP Challenger
03.04.26	Matias Soto - Nicolas Mejia	2:1 ✺
02.04.26	Alan Magadan - Matias Soto	1:2 ✺
31.03.26	Matias Soto - Vladyslav Orlov	2:0 ✺
30.03.26	Matias Soto - Bor Artnak	Canceled ✺
28.03.26	Guido Ivan Justo - Matias Soto	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWW?W

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
31.05.24	Matias Soto - Jay Clarke	0:2

Jay Clarke - Matias Soto: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide