Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: KITZBUHEL (AUSTRIA), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 31 July 2023, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
France	beIN Sports
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Portugal	Sport TV3
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Guido Pella		Roberto Carballes Baena

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	2.1	1.72
	2.1	1.73
	2.11	1.73
	2.14	1.78
	2	1.8	Watch
	2.22	1.66	Watch
	2.05	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.35)	1.75 ↑ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guido Pella
45.5%

Roberto Carballes Baena
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

59.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

60.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guido Pella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Roberto Carballes Baena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guido Pella than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guido Pella that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Roberto Carballes Baena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.8%	0%	12.2%

Guido Pella - Roberto Carballes Baena Predictions

Users Predictions: 49 users predict this event. Pella will win (votes: 43 - 87.8%). Carballes Baena will win (votes: 6 - 12.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pella: 78.6% – 97%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Pella is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Carballes Baena is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pella could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Pella won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guido Pella
ATP Hamburg
26.07.23	Laslo Djere - Guido Pella	2:1 ✺
24.07.23	Thiago Monteiro - Guido Pella	1:2 ✺
24.07.23	Emil Ruusuvuori - Guido Pella	Canceled ✺
ATP Wimbledon
07.07.23	Guido Pella - Roman Safiullin	0:3 ✺
06.07.23	Guido Pella - Harold Mayot	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LW?LW
- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Umag
28.07.23	Stanislas Wawrinka - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
27.07.23	Taro Daniel - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
ATP Gstaad
18.07.23	Stanislas Wawrinka - Roberto Carballes Baena	Carballes Baena R. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
11.07.23	Roberto Carballes Baena - Blaz Rola	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
07.07.23	Roberto Carballes Baena - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LW?LL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Sao Paulo
27.02.19	Roberto Carballes Baena - Guido Pella	0:2
ATP Winston-Salem
19.08.18	Guido Pella - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2

Guido Pella - Roberto Carballes Baena: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide