Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: UMAG (CROATIA), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 28 July 2023, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: UMAG (CROATIA) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bulgaria	22:40	Max Sport 3
France	21:40	beIN Sports Max
Poland	21:40	Polsat Sport Extra
Portugal	20:40	Sport TV5


	Stanislas Wawrinka		Roberto Carballes Baena

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.7
	1.46	2.7
	1.45	2.73
	1.49	2.85
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.43	2.83	Watch
	1.45	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.48)	2.76 ↑ (2.72)

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stanislas Wawrinka
65.6%

Roberto Carballes Baena
34.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64.8%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.3%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stanislas Wawrinka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Roberto Carballes Baena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stanislas Wawrinka than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.6%	0%	18.4%

Stanislas Wawrinka - Roberto Carballes Baena Predictions

Users Predictions: Stanislas Wawrinka will win (40 of 49 users predict this - 81.63%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.79% – 92.47%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Wawrinka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Wawrinka will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Wawrinka won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stanislas Wawrinka
ATP Umag
27.07.23	Stanislas Wawrinka - Federico Coria	2:0 ✺
26.07.23	Stanislas Wawrinka - Filip Misolic	2:0 ✺
ATP Gstaad
20.07.23	Jaume Munar - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:0 ✺
18.07.23	Stanislas Wawrinka - Roberto Carballes Baena	Carballes Baena R. retired ✺
ATP Wimbledon
07.07.23	Stanislas Wawrinka - Novak Djokovic	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WWL?L
- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Umag
27.07.23	Taro Daniel - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
ATP Gstaad
18.07.23	Stanislas Wawrinka - Roberto Carballes Baena	Carballes Baena R. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
11.07.23	Roberto Carballes Baena - Blaz Rola	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
07.07.23	Roberto Carballes Baena - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:3 ✺
06.07.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Roberto Carballes Baena	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 W?LLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Gstaad
18.07.23	Stanislas Wawrinka - Roberto Carballes Baena	Carballes Baena R. retired

Stanislas Wawrinka - Roberto Carballes Baena