Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: UMAG (CROATIA), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 27 July 2023, Thursday


	Taro Daniel		Roberto Carballes Baena

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.91	1.85
	1.92	1.88
	1.95	1.87
	1.94	1.96
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.95	1.85	Watch
	1.97	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.94)	1.86 ↓ (1.87)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taro Daniel
48.7%

Roberto Carballes Baena
51.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

51%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taro Daniel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Roberto Carballes Baena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taro Daniel than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.3%	0%	73.7%

Taro Daniel - Roberto Carballes Baena Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Daniel will win (votes: 10 - 26.3%). Carballes Baena will win (votes: 28 - 73.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Carballes Baena: 59.7% – 87.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Daniel is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Carballes Baena is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Carballes Baena could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Daniel won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taro Daniel
ATP Umag
24.07.23	Taro Daniel - Martin Landaluce	2:1 ✺
ATP Gstaad
18.07.23	Pedro Cachin - Taro Daniel	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.07.23	Franco Agamenone - Taro Daniel	2:1 ✺
11.07.23	Karl Friberg - Taro Daniel	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
05.07.23	Ben Shelton - Taro Daniel	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WLLWL
- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Gstaad
18.07.23	Stanislas Wawrinka - Roberto Carballes Baena	Carballes Baena R. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
11.07.23	Roberto Carballes Baena - Blaz Rola	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
07.07.23	Roberto Carballes Baena - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:3 ✺
06.07.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Roberto Carballes Baena	1:3 ✺
ATP Mallorca
27.06.23	Corentin Moutet - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 ?LLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Indian Wells
08.03.23	Taro Daniel - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0
ATP Buenos Aires
12.02.19	Roberto Carballes Baena - Taro Daniel	2:0
ATP Gstaad
25.07.18	Roberto Carballes Baena - Taro Daniel	1:2
ATP Sao Paulo
22.02.16	Taro Daniel - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2

Taro Daniel - Roberto Carballes Baena: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide