Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brasilia 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 March 2026, Monday


	Gustavo Heide		Daniel Elahi Galan

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.44	2.6	Watch
	1.52	2.63
	1.45	2.55	Watch
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.45	2.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.84)	2.6 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gustavo Heide
64.1%

Daniel Elahi Galan
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gustavo Heide has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gustavo Heide's performance.

Daniel Elahi Galan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Daniel Elahi Galan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gustavo Heide than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gustavo Heide that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Elahi Galan than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Daniel Elahi Galan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Gustavo Heide - Daniel Elahi Galan Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Heide will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Galan will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Heide (votes: 1 - 50%). Galan (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Sets - Galan (2.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 22.5 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Heide (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Galan (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Heide is ranked ATP: 260. Galan is ranked ATP: 188.

Heide has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Galan's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Daniel Elahi Galan - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 49.91%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gustavo Heide
ATP Santiago
21.02.26	Dino Prizmic - Gustavo Heide	2:0 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
16.02.26	Gustavo Heide - Vit Kopriva	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
07.02.26	Liam Draxl - Gustavo Heide	2:0 ✺
06.02.26	Gabriel Diallo - Gustavo Heide	1:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
13.01.26	Dino Prizmic - Gustavo Heide	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LLLWL
- Daniel Elahi Galan
ATP Santiago
22.02.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Daniel Elahi Galan	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Facundo Mena - Daniel Elahi Galan	0:2 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
14.02.26	Daniel Elahi Galan - Dino Prizmic	0:2 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
08.02.26	Daniel Elahi Galan - Lautaro Midon	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Daniel Elahi Galan - Juan Bautista Torres	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWLLW

Gustavo Heide - Daniel Elahi Galan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide