Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open (France) - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 23 May 2024, Thursday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)

Referee: Balmforth R. (Gbr)


	Gustavo Heide		Matteo Gigante

	1	2
	1.57	2.25
	1.53	2.4
	1.55	2.35	Watch
	1.58	2.44
	1.58	2.44
	1.57	2.25
	1.61	2.28	Watch
	1.58	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.97)	2.33 ↑ (1.77)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gustavo Heide
59.7%

Matteo Gigante
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gustavo Heide has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gustavo Heide's performance.

Matteo Gigante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matteo Gigante might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gustavo Heide than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gustavo Heide that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Gigante than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matteo Gigante could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	0%	30.8%

Gustavo Heide - Matteo Gigante Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Heide will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Gigante will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Heide: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Heide could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gustavo Heide
ATP Roland Garros
22.05.24	Gustavo Heide - Bu Yunchaokete	2:0 ✺
20.05.24	Lukas Klein - Gustavo Heide	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.05.24	Gustavo Heide - Jaime Faria	0:2 ✺
14.05.24	Gustavo Heide - Dmitry Popko	2:0 ✺
09.05.24	Jozef Kovalik - Gustavo Heide	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWLWL
- Matteo Gigante
ATP Roland Garros
22.05.24	Dalibor Svrcina - Matteo Gigante	1:2 ✺
20.05.24	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Matteo Gigante	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.05.24	Matteo Gigante - Francesco Maestrelli	0:2 ✺
13.05.24	Matteo Gigante - Gianluca Bellezza	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
10.05.24	Francisco Cerundolo - Matteo Gigante	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWLWL

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