Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome (Italy), clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 10 May 2024, Friday

Referee: Andrei R. (Rou)


	Francisco Cerundolo		Matteo Gigante

	1	2
	1.29	3.75	Watch
	1.3	3.4
	1.3	3.6	Watch
	1.31	3.83
	1.31	3.83
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.29	3.66	Watch
	1.28	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.41)	3.66 ↑ (2.94)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francisco Cerundolo
73.8%

Matteo Gigante
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.6%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.4%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francisco Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Francisco Cerundolo's performance.

Matteo Gigante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matteo Gigante might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Francisco Cerundolo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Gigante than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matteo Gigante could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95%	0%	5%

Francisco Cerundolo - Matteo Gigante Predictions

Users Predictions: Francisco Cerundolo will win (19 of 20 users predict this - 95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Cerundolo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gigante is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Cerundolo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Cerundolo is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francisco Cerundolo
ATP Madrid
01.05.24	Taylor Harry Fritz - Francisco Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
30.04.24	Francisco Cerundolo - Alexander Zverev	2:0 ✺
28.04.24	Tommy Paul - Francisco Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
26.04.24	Fabian Marozsan - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
ATP Bucharest
20.04.24	Francisco Cerundolo - Mariano Navone	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 LWWWL
- Matteo Gigante
ATP Roma
09.05.24	Matteo Gigante - Giulio Zeppieri	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
22.04.24	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Matteo Gigante	2:0 ✺
ATP Marrakech
02.04.24	Matteo Gigante - Roberto Carballes Baena	Gigante M. retired ✺
01.04.24	Matteo Gigante - Rudolf Molleker	2:1 ✺
31.03.24	Matteo Gigante - Karim Bennani	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WL?WW

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