Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kobe (Japan) - Qualification, hard (indoor) - Final

Date: 10 November 2024, Sunday


	Guy Den Ouden		Kris van Wyk

	1	2
	1.22	3.7
	1.25	3.6
	1.27	3.61
	1.24	3.79	Watch
	1.29	3.5
	1.26	3.63	Watch
	1.25	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.67)	3.63 ↑ (2.08)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guy Den Ouden
74.3%

Kris van Wyk
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guy Den Ouden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guy Den Ouden's performance.

Kris van Wyk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kris van Wyk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guy Den Ouden than the current prediction. (-17.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guy Den Ouden that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kris van Wyk than the current prediction. (+17.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kris van Wyk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Guy Den Ouden - Kris van Wyk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Den Ouden is ranked ATP: 273. van Wyk is ranked ATP: 355.

Den Ouden is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches van Wyk is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Den Ouden could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Den Ouden is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guy Den Ouden
ATP Challenger
10.11.24	Guy Den Ouden - Taisei Ichikawa	2:1 ✺
03.11.24	Guy Den Ouden - Shintaro Mochizuki	0:2 ✺
29.10.24	Guy Den Ouden - Hiroki Moriya	1:2 ✺
08.10.24	Guy Den Ouden - Rudy Quan	1:2 ✺
01.10.24	Tristan Schoolkate - Guy Den Ouden	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 WLLLL
- Kris van Wyk
ATP Challenger
09.11.24	Takuya Kumasaka - Kris van Wyk	1:2 ✺
02.11.24	Takuya Kumasaka - Kris van Wyk	2:0 ✺
28.10.24	Kris van Wyk - Kasidit Samrej	0:2 ✺
27.10.24	Kris van Wyk - Suk Ann	2:0 ✺
17.10.24	Mackenzie McDonald - Kris van Wyk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLLWL

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