Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Matsuyama (Japan), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 November 2024, Sunday


	Guy Den Ouden		Shintaro Mochizuki

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.2	1.6
	2.26	1.57	Watch
	2.34	1.62
	2.25	1.6	Watch
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.25	1.6	Watch
	2.26	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (1.84)	1.59 ↓ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guy Den Ouden
41.2%

Shintaro Mochizuki
58.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guy Den Ouden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guy Den Ouden's form might have worsened.

Shintaro Mochizuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shintaro Mochizuki's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guy Den Ouden than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guy Den Ouden, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shintaro Mochizuki, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Guy Den Ouden - Shintaro Mochizuki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Den Ouden is ranked ATP: 272. Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 238.

Den Ouden is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Mochizuki is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Den Ouden could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Mochizuki will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Guy Den Ouden - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.2%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guy Den Ouden
ATP Challenger
29.10.24	Guy Den Ouden - Hiroki Moriya	1:2 ✺
08.10.24	Guy Den Ouden - Rudy Quan	1:2 ✺
01.10.24	Tristan Schoolkate - Guy Den Ouden	2:0 ✺
29.09.24	Guy Den Ouden - Gus Grumet	Canceled ✺
17.09.24	Guy Den Ouden - Hynek Barton	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLL?L
- Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP Challenger
27.10.24	Matthew Dellavedova - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
24.10.24	Marc Polmans - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:1 ✺
22.10.24	Ryuki Matsuda - Shintaro Mochizuki	0:2 ✺
21.10.24	Aleksandre Bakshi - Shintaro Mochizuki	0:2 ✺
06.10.24	Shintaro Mochizuki - Hanyi Liu	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWW?

Guy Den Ouden - Shintaro Mochizuki: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide