Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon - Qualification, grass - Quarter-finals

Date: 22 June 2026, Monday

Location: Community Sports Centre Roehampton (London)


	Guy Den Ouden		Yi Zhou

	1	2
	2.25	1.57
	2.05	1.72
	2.17	1.66
	2.23	1.74
	2.14	1.67	Watch
	2.10	1.67
	2.31	1.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.63)	1.66 ↑ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guy Den Ouden
43.3%

Yi Zhou
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

64.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

62.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guy Den Ouden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guy Den Ouden's performance.

Yi Zhou has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yi Zhou might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guy Den Ouden than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guy Den Ouden that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yi Zhou than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yi Zhou could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Guy Den Ouden - Yi Zhou Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Den Ouden will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Zhou will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Den Ouden is ranked ATP: 243. Zhou is ranked ATP: 253.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Zhou may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Zhou will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guy Den Ouden
ATP Challenger
13.06.26	Anton Matusevich - Guy Den Ouden	2:1 ✺
05.06.26	Guy Den Ouden - Emilio Nava	1:2 ✺
03.06.26	Matej Dodig - Guy Den Ouden	1:2 ✺
01.06.26	Pavel Kotov - Guy Den Ouden	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
18.05.26	Dalibor Svrcina - Guy Den Ouden	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLWWL
- Yi Zhou
ATP Challenger
18.06.26	Jurij Rodionov - Yi Zhou	2:0 ✺
17.06.26	Yi Zhou - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
16.06.26	Benjamin Willwerth - Yi Zhou	1:2 ✺
08.06.26	Yi Zhou - Ben Jones	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
19.05.26	Matej Dodig - Yi Zhou	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWWLL

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