Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Buenos Aires 3, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday


	Hady Habib		Alvaro Guillen Meza

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
			Watch
	2.65	1.4	Watch
	2.82	1.45
	2.64	1.43	Watch
			Watch
	2.73	1.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2)	1.43 ↓ (1.74)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hady Habib
34.6%

Alvaro Guillen Meza
65.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hady Habib has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hady Habib's form might have worsened.

Alvaro Guillen Meza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alvaro Guillen Meza's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hady Habib than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hady Habib, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvaro Guillen Meza than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alvaro Guillen Meza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hady Habib - Alvaro Guillen Meza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Habib is ranked ATP: 172. Guillen Meza is ranked ATP: 237.

Habib has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Guillen Meza is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Guillen Meza will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Guillen Meza will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Hady Habib - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 46.45%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Alvaro Guillen Meza - the odds 1.74 are the expected chance of winning is 53.55%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hady Habib
Davis Cup World Group II
13.09.25	Hady Habib - Darian King	Canceled ✺
12.09.25	Hady Habib - Kaipo Marshall	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
19.08.25	Giulio Zeppieri - Hady Habib	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.08.25	Hady Habib - Jaime Faria	1:2 ✺
12.08.25	Hady Habib - Alexander Shevchenko	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 ?WLL?
- Alvaro Guillen Meza
Davis Cup World Group I
14.09.25	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Damir Dzumhur	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Nerman Fatic	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.09.25	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Andrea Picchione	Picchione A. walkover ✺
02.09.25	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Giovanni Fonio	2:1 ✺
29.08.25	Raul Brancaccio - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WW?WL

Hady Habib - Alvaro Guillen Meza: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide