Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Genova, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 September 2025, Wednesday


	Alvaro Guillen Meza		Andrea Picchione

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.5	2.4	Watch
	1.52	2.38
	1.61	2.36
	1.57	2.35	Watch
			Watch
	1.6	2.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.52)	2.37 ↑ (2.34)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alvaro Guillen Meza
60.5%

Andrea Picchione
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alvaro Guillen Meza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Andrea Picchione has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvaro Guillen Meza than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Picchione than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Alvaro Guillen Meza - Andrea Picchione Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Guillen Meza is ranked ATP: 243. Picchione is ranked ATP: 366.

Recent performances by Guillen Meza have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Picchione is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Picchione may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Guillen Meza might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Alvaro Guillen Meza - the odds 1.52 are the expected chance of winning is 60.57%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alvaro Guillen Meza
ATP Challenger
02.09.25	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Giovanni Fonio	2:1 ✺
29.08.25	Raul Brancaccio - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:0 ✺
26.08.25	Federico Arnaboldi - Alvaro Guillen Meza	0:2 ✺
20.08.25	Marat Sharipov - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:1 ✺
19.08.25	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Alvaro Guillen Meza	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWLW
- Andrea Picchione
ATP Challenger
02.09.25	Andrea Picchione - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0 ✺
01.09.25	Andrea Picchione - Eero Vasa	2:1 ✺
31.08.25	Andrea Picchione - Simone Agostini	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
21.08.25	Andrea Picchione - Francesco Forti	0:2 ✺
19.08.25	Andrea Picchione - Gian Marco Ortenzi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.8 WWWLW

Alvaro Guillen Meza - Andrea Picchione: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide