Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Genova, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 September 2025, Tuesday


	Alvaro Guillen Meza		Giovanni Fonio

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.7	2.05	Watch
	1.75	1.97	Watch
	1.74	2.13
	1.42	2.74	Watch
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.72	2.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.86)	2.12 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alvaro Guillen Meza
55.6%

Giovanni Fonio
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

50.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alvaro Guillen Meza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alvaro Guillen Meza's performance.

Giovanni Fonio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Giovanni Fonio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvaro Guillen Meza than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alvaro Guillen Meza that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giovanni Fonio than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Giovanni Fonio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Alvaro Guillen Meza - Giovanni Fonio Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Guillen Meza will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Fonio will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Guillen Meza is ranked ATP: 243. Fonio is ranked ATP: 407.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Guillen Meza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Alvaro Guillen Meza - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 49.59%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Giovanni Fonio - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50.41%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alvaro Guillen Meza
ATP Challenger
29.08.25	Raul Brancaccio - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:0 ✺
26.08.25	Federico Arnaboldi - Alvaro Guillen Meza	0:2 ✺
20.08.25	Marat Sharipov - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:1 ✺
19.08.25	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Alvaro Guillen Meza	0:2 ✺
ATP Umag
21.07.25	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Stanislas Wawrinka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWLWL
- Giovanni Fonio
ATP Challenger
01.09.25	Giovanni Fonio - Gabriele Pennaforti	1:2 ✺
31.08.25	Giovanni Fonio - Jacopo Vasami	Canceled ✺
29.08.25	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Giovanni Fonio	2:0 ✺
26.08.25	Federico Bondioli - Giovanni Fonio	1:2 ✺
25.08.25	Giovanni Fonio - Jacopo Vasami	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 L?LWW

Alvaro Guillen Meza - Giovanni Fonio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide