Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 19 March 2026, Thursday


	Alexandre Muller		Matteo Berrettini

	1	2
	4.5	1.2	Watch
	4.2	1.22	Watch
	4.4	1.2
	4.53	1.24
	4.2	1.21	Watch
	4.2	1.22
	4.43	1.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.35 ↑ (2.88)	1.22 ↓ (1.34)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alexandre Muller
21.9%

Matteo Berrettini
78.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

59.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexandre Muller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexandre Muller's form might have worsened.

Matteo Berrettini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Matteo Berrettini's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (+19%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexandre Muller, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Berrettini than the current prediction. (-19%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matteo Berrettini, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Alexandre Muller - Matteo Berrettini Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Muller will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Berrettini will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Berrettini: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Berrettini (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5 Games - Muller (2.06) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 22.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Muller (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Berrettini (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Muller is ranked ATP: 90. Berrettini is ranked ATP: 68.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Muller may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Berrettini is the team to beat.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Matteo Berrettini - the odds 1.34 are the expected chance of winning is 68.25%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexandre Muller
ATP Rio de Janeiro
17.02.26	Dino Prizmic - Alexandre Muller	Canceled ✺
Davis Cup World Group
08.02.26	Alexandre Muller - Norbert Gombos	Canceled ✺
07.02.26	Alexandre Muller - Alex Molcan	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
21.01.26	Alexander Zverev - Alexandre Muller	3:1 ✺
19.01.26	Alexei Popyrin - Alexandre Muller	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 ??LLW
- Matteo Berrettini
ATP Indian Wells
06.03.26	Matteo Berrettini - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
04.03.26	Matteo Berrettini - Adrian Mannarino	2:1 ✺
ATP Santiago
24.02.26	Emilio Nava - Matteo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
20.02.26	Ignacio Buse - Matteo Berrettini	2:1 ✺
19.02.26	Matteo Berrettini - Dusan Lajovic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLLW

Upcoming Matches