Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: KITZBUHEL (AUSTRIA), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 31 July 2023, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
France	beIN Sports
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Portugal	Sport TV3
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Hamad Medjedovic		Sebastian Baez

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	2	1.78
	2.02	1.8
	2.07	1.76
	2.16	1.77
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.03	1.79	Watch
	2.03	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.4)	1.77 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamad Medjedovic
46.4%

Sebastian Baez
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

60.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

61.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamad Medjedovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hamad Medjedovic's performance.

Sebastian Baez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sebastian Baez might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamad Medjedovic than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hamad Medjedovic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sebastian Baez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.6%	0%	30.4%

Hamad Medjedovic - Sebastian Baez Predictions

Users Predictions: 46 users predict this event. Medjedovic will win (votes: 32 - 69.6%). Baez will win (votes: 14 - 30.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Medjedovic: 56.3% – 82.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Medjedovic is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Baez is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Baez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamad Medjedovic
ATP Kitzbuhel
30.07.23	Lukas Neumayer - Hamad Medjedovic	0:2 ✺
29.07.23	Lucas Miedler - Hamad Medjedovic	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
25.07.23	Jurij Rodionov - Hamad Medjedovic	2:0 ✺
ATP Gstaad
22.07.23	Pedro Cachin - Hamad Medjedovic	2:0 ✺
21.07.23	Yannick Hanfmann - Hamad Medjedovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLLW
- Sebastian Baez
ATP Hamburg
26.07.23	Casper Ruud - Sebastian Baez	2:1 ✺
ATP Bastad
18.07.23	Sebastian Baez - Federico Coria	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
03.07.23	Sebastian Baez - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	1:3 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
28.06.23	Sebastian Baez - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
26.06.23	Nuno Borges - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLLLW

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