Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: WIMBLEDON (UNITED KINGDOM), GRASS - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 3 July 2023, Monday

Location: All England Club (London)


	Sebastian Baez		Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.72	2.1
	1.78	2.04
	1.78	2.09
	1.81	2.11
	1.73	2.1
	1.75	2.08	Watch
	1.72	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.55)	2.09 ↓ (2.45)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sebastian Baez
54.4%

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Baez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sebastian Baez's form might have worsened.

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sebastian Baez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.3%	0%	69.7%

Sebastian Baez - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera Predictions

Users Predictions: 66 users predict this event. Baez will win (votes: 20 - 30.3%). Barrios Vera will win (votes: 46 - 69.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barrios Vera: 58.6% – 80.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

#ad

Preview

Recent matches Baez is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Barrios Vera is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Baez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Baez won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Baez
ATP Eastbourne
28.06.23	Sebastian Baez - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
26.06.23	Nuno Borges - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
30.05.23	Gael Monfils - Sebastian Baez	3:2 ✺
ATP Lyon
25.05.23	Sebastian Baez - Cameron Norrie	1:2 ✺
24.05.23	Sebastian Baez - Pedro Cachin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWLLW
- Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
ATP Wimbledon
29.06.23	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Thiago Seyboth Wild	3:2 ✺
28.06.23	Rinky Hijikata - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2 ✺
26.06.23	Evgeny Donskoy - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.06.23	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Mariano Navone	0:2 ✺
23.06.23	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Zdenek Kolar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cordoba
10.02.23	Sebastian Baez - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:1
ATP Challenger
16.10.21	Sebastian Baez - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:1
14.05.21	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Sebastian Baez	0:2
21.03.21	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Sebastian Baez	0:2

Upcoming Matches