Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: AUSTRALIAN OPEN (AUSTRALIA) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - FINAL

Date: 11 January 2024, Thursday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)


	Harold Mayot		Jakub Mensik

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.45	1.5
	2.3	1.55	Watch
	2.42	1.59
	2.42	1.59
	2.38	1.53
	2.44	1.54	Watch
	2.3	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.18)	1.57 ↓ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Harold Mayot
40.1%

Jakub Mensik
59.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

54.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harold Mayot has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Jakub Mensik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harold Mayot than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Harold Mayot, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jakub Mensik than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jakub Mensik, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Harold Mayot - Jakub Mensik Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Mayot will win (votes: 10 - 33.3%). Mensik will win (votes: 20 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mensik: 49.8% – 83.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

At the moment players are feeling good and ready to play.

Mayot could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Mensik will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Mensik to win the game is with odds 1.62.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harold Mayot
ATP Australian Open
10.01.24	Hugo Dellien - Harold Mayot	0:2 ✺
09.01.24	Harold Mayot - Andrea Collarini	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.01.24	Arthur Cazaux - Harold Mayot	2:0 ✺
04.01.24	Jesper De Jong - Harold Mayot	1:2 ✺
03.01.24	Harold Mayot - Constant Lestienne	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWLWW
- Jakub Mensik
ATP Australian Open
10.01.24	Federico Gaio - Jakub Mensik	1:2 ✺
09.01.24	Jakub Mensik - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.01.24	Dominik Koepfer - Jakub Mensik	2:0 ✺
05.01.24	Jakub Mensik - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
03.01.24	Jakub Mensik - Alexander Ritschard	Mensik J. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWLW?

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