Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 21 August 2025, Thursday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Jesper De Jong		Harold Mayot

	1	2
	1.57	2.25
	1.55	2.35
	1.57	2.35
	1.54	2.52
	1.53	2.47	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.57	2.37	Watch
	1.51	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.52)	2.37 (2.37)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jesper De Jong
60.4%

Harold Mayot
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jesper De Jong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Harold Mayot has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jesper De Jong than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harold Mayot than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Jesper De Jong - Harold Mayot Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. De Jong (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Mayot (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Users Predictions: Jesper De Jong will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

De Jong is ranked ATP: 80. Mayot is ranked ATP: 152.

De Jong has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Mayot is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Mayot may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

De Jong could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, De Jong won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Jesper De Jong - the odds 1.52 are the expected chance of winning is 60.93%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Harold Mayot - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 39.07%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jesper De Jong
ATP US Open
18.08.25	Jesper De Jong - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.08.25	Jesper De Jong - Dalibor Svrcina	0:2 ✺
14.08.25	Jesper De Jong - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	2:0 ✺
ATP Umag
24.07.25	Carlos Taberner - Jesper De Jong	2:0 ✺
23.07.25	Jesper De Jong - Mariano Navone	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWLW
- Harold Mayot
ATP US Open
18.08.25	Johannus Monday - Harold Mayot	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.08.25	Harold Mayot - Dino Prizmic	0:2 ✺
08.08.25	Giulio Zeppieri - Harold Mayot	0:2 ✺
07.08.25	Jie Cui - Harold Mayot	0:2 ✺
05.08.25	Clement Chidekh - Harold Mayot	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roma
05.05.25	Jesper De Jong - Harold Mayot	2:0
ATP Challenger
21.03.25	Harold Mayot - Jesper De Jong	De Jong J. walkover
04.01.24	Jesper De Jong - Harold Mayot	1:2

Jesper De Jong - Harold Mayot: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide