Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Laver Cup, hard

Date: 25 September 2026, Friday

Location: O2 Arena (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN 2
Australia	Stan Sport
Brazil	ESPN 2
Colombia	ESPN 2
Czech-republic	Eurosport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	Eurosport 1, HBO Max
Finland	Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
Greece	Eurosport 2
Hungary	Eurosport 2
Italy	Super Tennis
Sweden	Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Turkey	Eurosport 2
United-kingdom	HBO Max, Sky Sports Tennis, TNT Sports 2


	Jakub Mensik		Brandon Nakashima

	1	2
			Watch
	1.67	2.18
	1.7	2.11	Watch
	1.68	2.09
	1.63	2.18
	1.72	2.11	Watch
	1.7	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.78)	2.13 ↑ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jakub Mensik
55.9%

Brandon Nakashima
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jakub Mensik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Brandon Nakashima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jakub Mensik than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Jakub Mensik - Brandon Nakashima Predictions

Users Predictions: Jakub Mensik will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mensik is ranked ATP: 15., and Nakashima is ranked ATP: 17..

Both players have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Nakashima could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Mensik has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 5:2 (averaging 1.7:0.7 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jakub Mensik
Davis Cup World Group
19.09.26	Jakub Mensik - Ben Shelton	2:1 ✺
18.09.26	Jakub Mensik - Learner Tien	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
05.09.26	Jakub Mensik - Learner Tien	2:3 ✺
03.09.26	Jakub Mensik - Jurij Rodionov	3:1 ✺
31.08.26	Jakub Mensik - Shintaro Mochizuki	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLLWW
- Brandon Nakashima
ATP US Open
02.09.26	Brandon Nakashima - Alex Michelsen	0:3 ✺
31.08.26	Brandon Nakashima - Sebastian Baez	3:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
22.08.26	Brandon Nakashima - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
21.08.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Brandon Nakashima	1:2 ✺
19.08.26	Nuno Borges - Brandon Nakashima	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Washington
30.07.26	Brandon Nakashima - Jakub Mensik	2:1
ATP Australian Open
09.01.24	Jakub Mensik - Brandon Nakashima	2:0
ATP Challenger
05.01.24	Jakub Mensik - Brandon Nakashima	2:0

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