Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SPLIT (CROATIA), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 11 April 2023, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: SPLIT (CROATIA) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Harold Mayot		Shintaro Mochizuki

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.95	1.75
	2.08	1.72
	2.02	1.83
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.87	1.87	Watch
	1.9	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.83)	1.81 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Harold Mayot
48.4%

Shintaro Mochizuki
51.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harold Mayot has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Shintaro Mochizuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harold Mayot than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55%	0%	45%

Harold Mayot - Shintaro Mochizuki Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Mayot will win (votes: 11 - 55%). Mochizuki will win (votes: 9 - 45%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mayot: 33.2% – 76.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Mayot could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harold Mayot
ATP Challenger
30.03.23	Max Purcell - Harold Mayot	2:0 ✺
28.03.23	Edan Leshem - Harold Mayot	0:2 ✺
24.03.23	Evan Furness - Harold Mayot	2:0 ✺
23.03.23	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Harold Mayot	0:2 ✺
21.03.23	Alexandre Reco - Harold Mayot	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWLWW
- Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP Challenger
09.04.23	Shintaro Mochizuki - Franco Agamenone	2:1 ✺
07.04.23	Shintaro Mochizuki - Zsombor Piros	2:0 ✺
06.04.23	Juan Bautista Torres - Shintaro Mochizuki	0:2 ✺
03.04.23	Federico Arnaboldi - Shintaro Mochizuki	0:2 ✺
26.03.23	Shintaro Mochizuki - Alex Marti Pujolras	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WWWWL

Harold Mayot - Shintaro Mochizuki

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Harold Mayot - Shintaro Mochizuki Predictions

Preview

Form

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