Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: BARLETTA (ITALY), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 3 April 2023, Monday


	Federico Arnaboldi		Shintaro Mochizuki

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.72	2
	1.77	2
	1.77	2.09
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.74	2.01	Watch
	1.81	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.82)	1.95 ↑ (1.87)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Arnaboldi
52.3%

Shintaro Mochizuki
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Arnaboldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Shintaro Mochizuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Arnaboldi than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

Federico Arnaboldi - Shintaro Mochizuki Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Arnaboldi will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Mochizuki will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arnaboldi: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Mochizuki could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Arnaboldi
ATP Challenger
28.03.23	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Federico Arnaboldi	2:0 ✺
27.03.23	Federico Arnaboldi - Julian Ocleppo	2:0 ✺
26.03.23	Alexander Ritschard - Federico Arnaboldi	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.03.23	Luka Mikrut - Federico Arnaboldi	2:0 ✺
22.03.23	Giannicola Misasi - Federico Arnaboldi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWWLW
- Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP Challenger
26.03.23	Shintaro Mochizuki - Alex Marti Pujolras	0:2 ✺
20.03.23	Gauthier Onclin - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
09.03.23	Shintaro Mochizuki - Gastao Elias	1:2 ✺
07.03.23	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Shintaro Mochizuki	0:2 ✺
03.03.23	Borna Gojo - Shintaro Mochizuki	Mochizuki S. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLW?

Federico Arnaboldi - Shintaro Mochizuki: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide