Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Suzhou, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Suzhou 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Harold Mayot		Yuta Shimizu

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Harold Mayot
67.8%

Yuta Shimizu
32.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harold Mayot has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Yuta Shimizu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harold Mayot than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yuta Shimizu than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Mayot is ranked ATP: 175. Shimizu is ranked ATP: 216.

Mayot is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Shimizu has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Mayot may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Mayot could have a small edge in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harold Mayot
ATP Challenger
23.10.25	Harold Mayot - Naoya Honda	Honda N. retired ✺
20.10.25	Harold Mayot - Yasutaka Uchiyama	2:1 ✺
17.10.25	Sho Shimabukuro - Harold Mayot	2:0 ✺
15.10.25	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Harold Mayot	0:2 ✺
14.10.25	Lloyd Harris - Harold Mayot	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 ?WLWW
- Yuta Shimizu
ATP Challenger
22.10.25	Takuya Kumasaka - Yuta Shimizu	1:2 ✺
21.10.25	Fajing Sun - Yuta Shimizu	1:2 ✺
19.10.25	Yuta Shimizu - Renta Tokuda	Canceled ✺
14.10.25	Aoran Wang - Yuta Shimizu	2:1 ✺
ATP Tokyo
21.09.25	Yuta Shimizu - Ethan Quinn	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WW?LL

Harold Mayot - Yuta Shimizu