Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Suzhou, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 October 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Suzhou 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Fajing Sun		Yuta Shimizu

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Fajing Sun
48.7%

Yuta Shimizu
51.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fajing Sun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Yuta Shimizu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fajing Sun than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yuta Shimizu than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Sun is ranked ATP: 250. Shimizu is ranked ATP: 216.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Sun may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Fajing Sun - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fajing Sun
ATP Challenger
19.10.25	Fajing Sun - Bernard Tomic	Canceled ✺
17.10.25	Fajing Sun - Yi Zhou	0:2 ✺
14.10.25	Fajing Sun - Hyeon Chung	2:0 ✺
13.10.25	Jason Kubler - Fajing Sun	0:2 ✺
07.10.25	Fajing Sun - Adam Walton	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 ?LWWL
- Yuta Shimizu
ATP Challenger
19.10.25	Yuta Shimizu - Renta Tokuda	Canceled ✺
14.10.25	Aoran Wang - Yuta Shimizu	2:1 ✺
ATP Tokyo
21.09.25	Yuta Shimizu - Ethan Quinn	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.09.25	Yuta Shimizu - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
02.09.25	Yuta Shimizu - Sho Shimabukuro	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 ?LLL?

Fajing Sun - Yuta Shimizu