Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Shenzhen 4, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 October 2025, Friday


	Sho Shimabukuro		Harold Mayot

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
			Watch
	2.27	1.56	Watch
	2.42	1.6
	2.12	1.63	Watch
	2.28	1.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.13)	1.59 ↓ (1.64)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sho Shimabukuro
41.2%

Harold Mayot
58.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

56.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

57.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sho Shimabukuro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Harold Mayot has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sho Shimabukuro than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harold Mayot than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Sho Shimabukuro - Harold Mayot Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Shimabukuro (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Shimabukuro is ranked ATP: 212. Mayot is ranked ATP: 182.

Shimabukuro is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Mayot has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Shimabukuro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Mayot will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shimabukuro won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Harold Mayot - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 56.52%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sho Shimabukuro
ATP Challenger
16.10.25	Sho Shimabukuro - Sergey Fomin	2:1 ✺
14.10.25	Sho Shimabukuro - Petr Bar-Biryukov	2:0 ✺
ATP Tokyo
25.09.25	Sho Shimabukuro - Sebastian Korda	0:2 ✺
25.09.25	Tomas Machac - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
23.09.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWLWW
- Harold Mayot
ATP Challenger
15.10.25	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Harold Mayot	0:2 ✺
14.10.25	Lloyd Harris - Harold Mayot	0:2 ✺
07.10.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Harold Mayot	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
30.09.25	Alejandro Tabilo - Harold Mayot	2:0 ✺
29.09.25	Fajing Sun - Harold Mayot	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
20.01.22	Harold Mayot - Sho Shimabukuro	2:0

Sho Shimabukuro - Harold Mayot: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide